0–100: how strongly the money agrees with the post.

What the number means

The Conviction score measures agreement between a post's claim and observable capital evidence for the token it mentions. Above 50, the evidence leans toward the post; below 50, it leans against it. Around 50, it is undecided. A bearish post on a token being sold scores high, because the money agrees.

Why confidence shapes the score

The score is pulled toward 50 in proportion to how much we trust the data: score = 50 + (capital evidence − 50) × confidence. Thin liquidity, missing fields, a new pair, disagreeing price sources, paid promotion or stale data all lower confidence, so weak evidence can never produce an extreme score. Below a confidence of 40 there is no score at all. You see Insufficient evidence.

The anatomy of a result

• Score: 0–100 agreement, never shown alone.
• State: Capital confirms, Hype > Capital, Capital moved first, Capital diverges, Mixed evidence, or Insufficient evidence.
• Reasons: two to four evidence-bound statements, ranked by weight.
• Evidence: the metrics, their windows, sources and timestamps, plus what contradicts the score.
• Confidence: High, Medium or Low, from the quality of the inputs.
• Freshness: when the market evidence was fetched.

What it is not

Not a price prediction, not a buy or sell signal, not a rating of a project. The same inputs always produce the same score, and every score records the methodology version that produced it (currently v1.0.0). Read the full methodology.