$XYZ is breaking out. Liquidity keeps stacking. Bullish.
Social narrative meets on-chain capital
CONVICTION
See whether the money agrees with the tweet.
Compare social narrative on X with observable crypto capital evidence. Cut through the noise. See what the market is actually doing.
- Free to start
- Works directly on X
- 4 chains
- Methodology published
$XYZ to $1 is inevitable. Don't fade this. 🚀
Example · fictional posts, scored by the real v1 engine from illustrative inputs
Get it in five seconds
X says something. CONVICTION checks the money.
- 1
X says something
A post claims a token is breaking out, or dying. It has likes, reposts, views: attention.
- 2
CONVICTION checks the capital
Liquidity, volume, buy and sell trade counts and price for that exact token, from public market data, with sources and timestamps.
- 3
You see whether they agree
A compact score under the post: Capital confirms, Hype > Capital, Capital moved first, or an honest “Insufficient evidence”.
Every score has a reason
Never a naked number.
Each result carries its state, the reasons behind it, the evidence, a confidence level and how fresh the data is. Click any score on X to open the full evidence.
- Liquidity +18.1% vs 2.0h ago
- Buy transactions 1.7× sells (count, last 1h)
- Volume +63% vs 24h hourly average (last 1h)
- Price +11.4% over 6h
- Post engagement ~7.2k/h, accelerating
- Sell transactions 2.4× buys (count, last 1h)
- Liquidity -12.8% vs 2.0h ago
- Price -9.8% over 6h
Capital vs narrative
The relationship is the signal.
CONVICTION isn't a sentiment dashboard or a token scanner. It measures one relationship: what a post says against what observable capital is doing. And when the evidence isn't good enough, it says so.
Capital confirms
The direction of the post and measurable market activity materially agree.
“Observable market activity currently supports the direction of the post.”
Hype > Capital
The post has real attention, while observable capital is weak, fading or pointing the other way.
“The post is drawing attention, but observable capital activity does not support it.”
Capital moved first
Capital activity is clearly stronger than the attention this post is getting.
“Capital activity is stronger than the attention this post is getting.”
Capital diverges
A quieter post whose direction the market is moving against.
“Observable capital activity points against the direction of the post.”
Mixed evidence
Strong pieces of evidence contradict each other. No clean read.
“Capital evidence neither clearly supports nor rejects the post.”
Insufficient evidence
Unknown or ambiguous token, thin or stale data, or a provider outage. We say so instead of guessing.
“There is not enough reliable evidence to compare this post with capital activity.”
Live capital evidence
Real data, right now.
Capital evidence for a few established assets, straight from public DEX market data. No post is attached here, so these tiles show the capital side only. Trade figures are counts, not dollar flows.
$ETH
Ethereum · DEX activity
Capital activity steady
- Liquidity
- $293.04M
- 1h volume vs 24h avg
- -31%
- Trades 1h (count)
- 304 buys / 340 sells
$SOL
Solana · DEX activity
Capital activity steady
- Liquidity
- $79.78M
- 1h volume vs 24h avg
- -14%
- Trades 1h (count)
- 5295 buys / 3865 sells
$PEPE
Ethereum · DEX activity
Capital activity steady
- Liquidity
- $35.56M
- 1h volume vs 24h avg
- +73%
- Trades 1h (count)
- 29 buys / 32 sells
$WIF
Solana · DEX activity
Capital activity steady
- Liquidity
- $7.27M
- 1h volume vs 24h avg
- +55%
- Trades 1h (count)
- 357 buys / 395 sells
$AERO
Base · DEX activity
Capital activity fading
- Liquidity
- $54.61M
- 1h volume vs 24h avg
- -34%
- Trades 1h (count)
- 226 buys / 323 sells
$BRETT
Base · DEX activity
Capital activity steady
- Liquidity
- $2.64M
- 1h volume vs 24h avg
- -23%
- Trades 1h (count)
- 17 buys / 28 sells
Get started in minutes
Install. Browse X normally. See evidence.
- 1
Install the extension
Add CONVICTION to Chrome. No account required to start, and no X login or wallet connection needed, ever.
- 2
Browse X normally
Scroll your feed as usual. CONVICTION only looks at crypto posts already on your screen and leaves everything else untouched.
- 3
See the evidence
A score appears under posts that mention a token. Open it for reasons, sources, contradictions, and to watchlist or share.
Choose your plan
Start free. Upgrade when it earns it.
All plans use the same published methodology. Paid tiers add limits, history, Capital Movers and alerts.
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See the evidence on X.
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For people who act on Crypto X.
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Everything, at the highest limits.
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Choose AlphaNo account needed to start: 40 analyses a day straight from the extension. Paid plans are upgraded from your dashboard once billing is enabled for your account; during the beta, every price above is in USD and billed monthly.
Built for trust
Minimal by design.
CONVICTION never needs
- Your X password
- X cookies or session tokens
- Your DMs
- A wallet connection
- Seed phrases
- Private keys
What it sends for a crypto post
Post ID, author handle, timestamp, visible engagement counts, and the token references and claim direction derived inside your browser. Post text stays in your browser. Non-crypto posts are never sent.
Read exactly what leaves your browser →Questions
Straight answers.
What does CONVICTION actually do?
Is this investment advice? Will it tell me what to buy?
Do I need to connect my X account or a wallet?
What leaves my browser?
Why do I sometimes see “Insufficient evidence” or “Token identity uncertain”?
See a clearer market.
Install CONVICTION and check whether the money agrees with the next post you read.
Supports Ethereum, Base, Solana, BNB Smart Chain.